Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 86.5%. Yes opened at 87% on 12 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 12 Jun 2026 to 17 Jun 2026, the highest close was 87.5% on 13 Jun 2026 and the lowest 86.5% on 17 Jun 2026. $2.18K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 14, 3:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 12 Jun 2026 – 17 Jun 2026, chart shows 82%–92%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 87.0% |
| 17 Jun 2026 | 86.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Oklmntrader | No | 525 |
| BAO95889 | No | 100 |
| Swift Scout 260A | No | 71.43 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of goals Lionel Messi scores during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only goals scored during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Only goals credited on FIFA's official scoresheet will count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. Own goals do not count toward the final total. If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many goals Lionel Messi scored within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-lionel-messi-goals-20260611144827122
| PolyEGG | No | 13.49 |
| everymarket | No | 12.4 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
