Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 9 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 9 Jun 2026 to 21 Jun 2026, the highest close was 41.5% on 9 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 17 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 17% on 10 Jun 2026. $2.03K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 21, 12:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 9 Jun 2026 – 21 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jun 2026 | 41.5% |
| 21 Jun 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 693.29 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 150 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/south-carolina-senate-republican-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory-20260608180148293
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Colala | Yes | 18 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 10 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 9.99 |
| Weepy-Item | Yes | 5 |
| Rotten-Venti | Yes | 5 |
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