Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 82.5%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 6 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 82.5% on 13 Jan 2026 and the low 8% on 10 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 51 points up, to 82.5% on 13 Jan 2026. $9.52K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 17, 9:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 6 Jan 2026 – 13 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 47.5% |
| 13 Jan 2026 | 82.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GUOWEILAI | No | 2K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 209 |
| crypto4rb | No | 200 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 198 |
| zuqiuchang | No | 146.2 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 111 |
| 0xloren | No | 100 |
| Deafening-Possible | No | 100 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 94 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 55 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “Low” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Lighter LIT/USDC price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-lighter-hit-in-january
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