Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 47%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 7 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 92 daily closes on record from 7 Jan 2026 to 30 Apr 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 20% on 23 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 20% on 23 Jan 2026. $255.92 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 8:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 92 points, 7 Jan 2026 – 30 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | 49.5% |
| 30 Apr 2026 | 47.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 161.91 |
| Adorable-Sousaphone | No | 30.78 |
| Lavincey | No | 1.2 |
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Bolivia’s departments include the following: La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections. In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order. This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-bolivia-gubernatorial-elections-party-winner
| No |
| 0.93 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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