Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 26 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 125 daily closes on record from 26 Jun 2024 to 28 Oct 2024, the highest close was 24.5% on 26 Jun 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 0.5% on 27 Jun 2024. $4.31M traded over the market's life.
51 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 29, 6:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 125 points, 26 Jun 2024 – 28 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2024 | 24.5% |
| 28 Oct 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 106.11K |
| joker9509 | Yes | 2.73K |
| xuxu11 | Yes | 1.07K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Formula 1 (F1) racer Lewis Hamilton finishes 1st in driver standings for the 2024 F1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As soon as the results for the final scheduled race of the 2024 F1 season are known (the final scheduled race for the 2024 season is presently scheduled for December 6-8 in Abu Dhabi: https://www.formula1.com/en/racing/2024.html), this market will resolve. This market may immediately resolve to "No" if it becomes impossible for this driver to win based on the rules of the 2024 F1 season. If the 2024 F1 season does not end by December 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the standings available then. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (ex: https://www.formula1.com/en/results.html/2024/drivers.html).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-2024-season-winner
| Yes |
| 1K |
| mo2 | Yes | 416.67 |
| Sharkgirl | Yes | 333.33 |
| octaviaday | Yes | 154 |
| S0ulReave | Yes | 151 |
| elizabethiva | Yes | 149 |
| Nebul0r | Yes | 147 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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