Analytics
Resolved No on 16 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 28 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 228 daily closes on record from 28 Aug 2025 to 16 May 2026 (34 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 83% on 23 Nov 2025 and the lowest 4.5% on 16 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 7.5% on 10 May 2026.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 16, 6:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 228 points, 28 Aug 2025 – 16 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2025 | 50.5% |
| 16 May 2026 | 4.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| laserjohnny | Yes | 2.11K |
| Jade Vector CF97 | Yes | 133.33 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 69.19 |
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga standings for the 2025–26 season. If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Bundesliga standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Bundesliga tiebreaking procedures. If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bundesliga-top-4-finish
| biser | Yes | 52.63 |
| jomag | Yes | 50 |
| thepolwinner | Yes | 37.01 |
| Stv12 | Yes | 35.71 |
| BE-KIND-TO-YOURSELF | Yes | 22.02 |
| Cautious-Compliance | Yes | 13.63 |
| GlazeTheKing | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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