
Resolved Yes on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.3%. Yes opened at 97% on 30 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 98.3% on 1 Jan 2026 and the lowest 71% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 98.3% on 1 Jan 2026. $8.86K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 3, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 97.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 98.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 338 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 209 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 159 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends Zohran Mamdani's swearing-in ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the ceremony is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-zohran-mamdanis-swearing-in-ceremony
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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