Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 74.5%. Yes opened at 62.5% on 27 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 27 Jul 2024 to 1 Aug 2024, the highest close was 74.5% on 1 Aug 2024 and the lowest 47.5% on 29 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 63% on 31 Jul 2024. $4.07K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 9:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 27 Jul 2024 – 1 Aug 2024, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2024 | 62.5% |
| 1 Aug 2024 | 74.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.44K |
| JoshR | No | 107.11 |
| Rafikk | Yes | 0.08 |
| movingdaily2020 | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Summer McIntosh (CAN) wins a Gold medal in Women's 200m Butterfly at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this athlete is eliminated from contention for a Gold medal in this event based on the official rules of the Olympics, this market will resolve to "No". In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied athlete representing USA. If no tied athlete represents USA, or if both tied athletes represent USA, this market will resolve in favor of the athlete whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the first official results published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/200m-butterfly-w-gold-medal-winner
| countryfilter | Yes | 0.01 |
| Blueberry | Yes | 0.01 |
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