Analytics
Resolved No on 24 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 62.5%. Yes opened at 24% on 21 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 21 May 2025 to 24 May 2025, the highest close was 37.5% on 24 May 2025 and the lowest 12.5% on 23 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 37.5% on 24 May 2025. $2.53K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 25, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 21 May 2025 – 24 May 2025, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2025 | 24.0% |
| 24 May 2025 | 37.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Flashy-Tag | Yes | 65.55 |
| Loftylary | Yes | 9.09 |
| markonien | Yes | 7.14 |
| notsosmart | Yes | 3.23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
As of May 20, 12:00 PM, 6 of the 10 inmates who escaped from a New Orleans jail remain at large (see: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/new-orleans-inmates-escape-update/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual us placed physically into the custody of any law enforcement agency by May 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government authorities.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-inmates-will-be-captured-by-friday
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