Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jun 4, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$794.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jun 4, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 4 Jun 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 17% on 28 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 28 May 2025 to 4 Jun 2025, the highest close was 100% on 4 Jun 2025 and the lowest 17% on 28 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 62 points up, to 100% on 4 Jun 2025. $794.28K traded over the market's life.

21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 5, 8:22 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 28 May 2025 – 4 Jun 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
28 May 2025	17.0%
4 Jun 2025	100.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	256.89K
penguuuin	No	6.1K
Cosmic Maven E6CC	No	300
Violet Raven 4C80	No	300

10 of 21 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

he 2025 South Korean presidential election will be held on June 3, to elect the next President of the Republic of Korea. This market will resolve according to the popular vote share won by Lee Jae-myung. If Lee Jae-myung does not participate in the election for any reason this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count published by the National Election Commission of South Korea (https://www.nec.go.kr/engvote/main.jsp).