Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.8%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 21 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 21 Jun 2026 to 10 Jul 2026, the highest close was 9.5% on 21 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 4 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 1.9% on 22 Jun 2026. $4.83K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 10:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 21 Jun 2026 – 10 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Jun 2026 | 9.5% |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.17K |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 1.6K |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 300 |
| balthazar | Yes | 199.94 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the region that wins the most series in the knockout stage of the Mid-Season Invitational 2026 (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 28 - July 12, 2026. Intra-region series will count for one series win for the purposes of this market. In case of a tie the market will resolve based on the region with higher game differential. If a tie persists, the market will resolve to the region with the better head to head series differential. If a tie still persists, the market will resolve to the region with the highest placing single team. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the region that comes first alphabetically. If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 26, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used. Regions counted in MSI 2026: - LCK (South Korea) - LPL (China) - LEC (Europe / EMEA) - LCP (Asia-Pacific) - LCS (North America) - CBLOL (Brazil)
Resolution source: lolesports.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-region-will-get-the-most-series-wins-during-the-msi-2026-knockout-stage-20260619185745823
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Jade Oracle 8329 | Yes | 60 |
| Siranox | Yes | 37.8 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| goldenpath545 | Yes | 16 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
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