Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 88.3%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 11 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 11 Jul 2026 to 25 Jul 2026, the highest close was 93% on 12 Jul 2026 and the lowest 31% on 24 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 57 points up, to 88.3% on 25 Jul 2026. $21.06K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 26, 9:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 11 Jul 2026 – 25 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2026 | 50.5% |
| 25 Jul 2026 | 88.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ShyGuy1 | No | 715.46 |
| Crazy-Tank | No | 500 |
| spurs0414 | No | 275.58 |
| GilaK | No | 254.88 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team on or before the listed date. If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. All dates will be measured in Eastern Time. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-will-lebron-james-sign-by-20260709223851526
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| CCCH54 | No | 212.65 |
| grant2008 | No | 117.99 |
| Hazaswine | No | 100 |
| Weak-Mutation | No | 96.77 |
| PrimePenguin | No | 96 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 92.46 |
