Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 59%. Yes opened at 6% on 2 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 61 daily closes on record from 2 May 2024 to 1 Jul 2024, the highest close was 41% on 1 Jul 2024 and the lowest 1% on 28 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 41% on 1 Jul 2024. $13.49K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 6:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 61 points, 2 May 2024 – 1 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 May 2024 | 6.0% |
| 1 Jul 2024 | 41.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0utofcontrol | Yes | 25.64 |
| 9914 | Yes | 2.56 |
| Gracious-Blinker | No | 1.03 |
| Viiiiiiitalik | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-lebron-retire-before-july
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