Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.9%. Yes opened at 78.5% on 4 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 4 Jul 2026 to 7 Jul 2026, the highest close was 97.9% on 7 Jul 2026 and the lowest 78.5% on 4 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 91% on 5 Jul 2026. $20.56K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 8, 3:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 4 Jul 2026 – 7 Jul 2026, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2026 | 78.5% |
| 7 Jul 2026 | 97.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RavenBaxter | No | 2.25K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.02K |
| peepeepooppoop | No | 60 |
| maimaimai | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve in favor of the listed date that LeBron James agrees to his next contract with an NBA team. If LeBron does not sign a contract, retires, or the date of agreement cannot be determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “July 7 or After”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-when-will-lebron-sign-20260701170840224
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| triklozoid | No | 15 |
| Crimson Horizon 466A | Yes | 0.98 |
| grant2008 | No | 0.02 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 0.01 |
| AllyouneedisClaude | No | 0.01 |
