Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 23% on 7 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 23% on 7 Oct 2025 and the low 0.2% on 8 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 0.2% on 8 Oct 2025. $98.49K traded over the market's life.
66 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 9, 8:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 7 Oct 2025 – 8 Oct 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2025 | 23.0% |
| 8 Oct 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Brt- | Yes | 5.53K |
| traganarru | Yes | 4.21K |
| 777987 | Yes | 3.25K |
| rjb09 | Yes | 1.92K |
| SuperQQ | Yes | 1.67K |
| Lively-Custard | Yes | 1.23K |
| user7711 | Yes | 1.03K |
| homeruns | Yes | 527.1 |
| hyperlickquid | Yes | 487.86 |
| Productive-Providence | Yes | 453.63 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lebron James retires from the NBA by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred. Announcements that he retiring after the 2025-26 NBA season won't quality. The resolution source will be statements from Lebron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-lebron-announce-tuesday
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