Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50%. Yes opened at 48% on 10 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 10 Apr 2026 to 15 Apr 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53.5% on 11 Apr 2026 and the lowest 48% on 10 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 53.5% on 11 Apr 2026. $6.66K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 16, 10:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 10 Apr 2026 – 15 Apr 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Apr 2026 | 48.0% |
| 15 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 5-min | Yes | 200 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 14.96 |
| Shameful-Quantity | Yes | 12.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated content will not be considered when resolving this market. If no such press briefing happens by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rgDR6obU-CI
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-karoline-leavitt-say-during-the-next-white-house-press-briefing-998
| Yes |
| 5 |
| kira-LP | No | 1.92 |
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