Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 48.5%. Yes opened at 45% on 19 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 51.5% on 15 Jan 2026 and the low 21% on 29 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 50% on 14 Jan 2026. $8.16K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 17, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 19 Dec 2025 – 15 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2025 | 45.0% |
| 15 Jan 2026 | 51.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 380 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 218 |
| Dead-Case | Yes | 100 |
| girthgod69420 | Yes | 13.51 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Karoline Leavitt says the listed term during the next White House press briefing she participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated content will not be considered when resolving this market. If no such press briefing happens by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Leavitt ceases to be White House press secretary for any length of time by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers exclusively to regular White House press briefings titled "Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt" as found on the President's Public Schedule (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing with this title on the linked schedule will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings with a different title description such as those including extra guests will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-karoline-leavitt-say-during-the-next-white-house-press-briefing-139
| 656yertr | Yes | 10 |
| Curly-Bamboo | Yes | 2.7 |
| Delamain | Yes | 2.27 |
| Cancuntrader | Yes | 2.04 |
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