Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 85%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 7 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2025 to 23 Oct 2025, the highest close was 97% on 11 Oct 2025 and the lowest 37.5% on 9 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 58 points up, to 97% on 11 Oct 2025. $1.9K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 7 Oct 2025 – 23 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2025 | 49.5% |
| 23 Oct 2025 | 85.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PMMMR | No | 199.98 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 109 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 31 |
| PiotrMARW2025 | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Karoline Leavitt says the listed term during the next White House press briefing she participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such press briefing happens by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Leavitt ceases to be White House press secretary for any length of time by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers exclusively to regular White House press briefings, titled "Press Briefing by the White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt" as part of the official schedule originally published by the White House Press Pool (https://www.forth.news/whpool). "New Media" press briefings, special briefings with a different title description such as those including extra guests, or any originally unscheduled press briefings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-karoline-leavitt-say-during-next-white-house-press-briefing-398
| Deafening-Possible | No | 14 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 5 |
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