Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 41.5%. Yes opened at 54.5% on 26 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 26 Feb 2026 to 4 Mar 2026, the highest close was 84% on 28 Feb 2026 and the lowest 52.5% on 1 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 52.5% on 1 Mar 2026.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 5, 9:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 26 Feb 2026 – 4 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2026 | 54.5% |
| 4 Mar 2026 | 58.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gracious-Bud | Yes | 1.95K |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| Bombardier | Yes | 43.94 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the acting White House Press Secretary says the listed term during the next White House press briefing they participate in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated content will not be considered when resolving this market. If no such press briefing happens by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FeD4zTXZfX0
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-karoline-leavitt-say-during-the-next-white-house-press-briefing-131
| vger7 | Yes | 20 |
| 656yertr | Yes | 10 |
| chloehyx | Yes | 4.35 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 3.12 |
| idhjdfo9u23urjp2jt2-wu | No | 0.03 |
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