Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Resolved

No, settled May 30, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$730.3K

Resolved

Settled

May 30, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 30 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.7%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 3 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 117 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2026 to 30 May 2026 (31 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 8.3% on 1 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 8.3% on 1 Feb 2026. $730.3K traded over the market's life.

142 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 31, 8:42 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 117 points, 3 Jan 2026 – 30 May 2026, chart shows 0%–15%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
3 Jan 2026	3.5%
30 May 2026	2.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	422.5K
ThisAgain	Yes	40.86K
Bold Orbit 5DFD	Yes	22.82K

Rules

How this market was settled

The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.