Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.4%. Yes opened at 9% on 10 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 10 Aug 2024 to 23 Aug 2024, the highest close was 19.3% on 22 Aug 2024 and the lowest 2.4% on 20 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 2.6% on 23 Aug 2024. $10.98K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 3:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 10 Aug 2024 – 23 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2024 | 9.0% |
| 23 Aug 2024 | 2.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SimpleJack | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2024 Democratic National Convention is scheduled for August 19-22, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Larry David is a speaker at the Democratic National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This person will be considered a "speaker" if they publicly give a speech in-person at the convention. Brief comments, introductions, or participation in a panel or discussion do not count for a "Yes" resolution, they must actually give a speech. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Democratic party, including footage from the convention, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-speak-at-dnc
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