Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 14 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 14 Aug 2026 to 10 Sep 2026, the highest close was 45.5% on 14 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 10 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 7.5% on 21 Aug 2026. $752.51 traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 11, 5:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 14 Aug 2026 – 10 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 45.5% |
| 10 Sep 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.75K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 97.87 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 90.52 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 62.94 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the act who wins America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21. Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/americas-got-talent-s21-winner-20260812142714600
| crckr | Yes | 50 |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 46 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 30 |
| balthazar | Yes | 18.58 |
| a5533 | Yes | 15 |
| merod | Yes | 11.49 |
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