Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 24% on 10 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 10 Jul 2025 to 26 Jul 2025, the highest close was 24% on 10 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 25 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 1.6% on 11 Jul 2025. $8.03K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 27, 8:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 10 Jul 2025 – 26 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2025 | 24.0% |
| 26 Jul 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.71K |
| St-Qc | Yes | 332.93 |
| Pollyna | Yes | 135.97 |
| lettuce | Yes | 89.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the driver who achieves pole position at the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix, scheduled for July 27, 2025. If the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after August 14, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA’s official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to "Yes" for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/f1-belgian-grand-prix-pole-winner
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 71.03 |
| JoE | Yes | 27.05 |
| shine | No | 0.02 |
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