Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 25 points from 25% when the market opened on 3 Oct 2026.
Across the 20 daily closes on record from 3 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 25% on 3 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 10 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 2.6% on 4 Oct 2026.
Lady Gaga ranks tenth of the 14 outcomes in “#2 Spotify Artist in October?”. Rihanna leads at 97.2%; The Weeknd is at 1.8%.
$281 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.4K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is e46m3 with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 5.8K. Ten wallets hold 89.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 3 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | 25.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.83K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.07K |
| Lucerys | Yes | 707.2 |
This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second-greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2-spotify-artist-in-october-20261031
2 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| balthazar |
| Yes |
| 697.12 |
| donthackme | Yes | 567.64 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 429.41 |
| smallreceipt | Yes | 411.11 |
| quietparcel | Yes | 289 |
| godblessme2026 | Yes | 194.28 |
| qwen300.fund | Yes | 191.34 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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