Analytics
Resolved No on 5 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 80.5%. Yes opened at 56.5% on 28 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 91 daily closes on record from 28 Jan 2026 to 5 May 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 89% on 23 Mar 2026 and the lowest 18% on 1 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 89% on 23 Mar 2026. $120.87K traded over the market's life.
80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 6, 6:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 28 Jan 2026 – 5 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jan 2026 | 56.5% |
| 5 May 2026 | 19.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fatal-Publisher | Yes | 8.24K |
| HCaulfield83 | Yes | 269.9 |
| TooYoungToWin | Yes | 248.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2026 Met Gala is scheduled for May 4, 2026. This year's theme is "Costume Art". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lady Gaga attends the 2026 Met Gala. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-lady-gaga-attend-the-met-gala
| Yes |
| 217.39 |
| Starry-Warning | Yes | 125.08 |
| Sunny-Premier | Yes | 123.77 |
| xywgigi202 | Yes | 92.59 |
| J33t3rEat3r | Yes | 78.33 |
| bholiday13 | Yes | 69 |
| Xplo | Yes | 63.43 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
