Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.2%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 16 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 16 Apr 2025 to 4 May 2025, the highest close was 99.2% on 4 May 2025 and the lowest 17% on 18 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 99.2% on 4 May 2025. $7.84K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 5, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 16 Apr 2025 – 4 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Apr 2025 | 49.5% |
| 4 May 2025 | 99.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.07K |
| SuARas | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Brisbane will be up for contest in this election. This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Brisbane belongs to. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/australia-election-seat-of-brisbane
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