Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 6.7% on 10 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2025 to 13 Jan 2025, the highest close was 6.7% on 10 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 13 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.3 points down, to 0.4% on 11 Jan 2025. $37.88K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 14, 4:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 10 Jan 2025 – 13 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2025 | 6.7% |
| 13 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.35K |
| Stefani | Yes | 4K |
| 0xdegendev | Yes | 198.35 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on estimating the total acres that will be burned by wildfires in Los Angeles by Sunday.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-acres-will-los-angeles-wildfires-burn-by-sunday
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
