Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 7.4% on 10 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 7.4% on 10 Jan 2025 and the low 0.1% on 13 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.8 points down, to 1.6% on 11 Jan 2025. $34.66K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 14, 10:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 10 Jan 2025 – 13 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2025 | 7.4% |
| 13 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.35K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on estimating the total acres that will be burned by wildfires in Los Angeles by Sunday.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-acres-will-los-angeles-wildfires-burn-by-sunday
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