Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 10 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2025 to 13 Jan 2025, the highest close was 99.5% on 13 Jan 2025 and the lowest 52.5% on 10 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 95% on 12 Jan 2025. $29.85K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 14, 9:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 10 Jan 2025 – 13 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2025 | 52.5% |
| 13 Jan 2025 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.35K |
| MPGA | No | 4K |
| theodore57 | No | 20 |
| bemder | Yes | 10.53 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on estimating the total acres that will be burned by wildfires in Los Angeles by Sunday.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-acres-will-los-angeles-wildfires-burn-by-sunday
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| roccoco | Yes | 10.42 |
| Venividivici | Yes | 0.02 |
| daroghi | Yes | 0.01 |
| worldEventer | Yes | 0.01 |
