Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 26% on 10 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 10 Jan 2025 to 12 Jan 2025, the highest close was 26% on 10 Jan 2025 and the lowest 1.5% on 12 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 9.5% on 11 Jan 2025. $23.78K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 13, 3:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 10 Jan 2025 – 12 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2025 | 26.0% |
| 12 Jan 2025 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.35K |
| Admirable-Jellyfish | No | 1 |
| Venividivici | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on estimating the total acres that will be burned by wildfires in Los Angeles by Sunday.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-acres-will-los-angeles-wildfires-burn-by-sunday
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