Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 34%. Yes opened at 29.5% on 27 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 27 Jul 2024 to 31 Jul 2024, the highest close was 66% on 31 Jul 2024 and the lowest 26.5% on 30 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 66% on 31 Jul 2024. $16.54K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 5:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 27 Jul 2024 – 31 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2024 | 29.5% |
| 31 Jul 2024 | 66.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 883.14 |
| warmind | Yes | 33.33 |
| Ashen | Yes | 14.49 |
| Jarzombek | No | 0.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
200m Butterfly (M)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/200m-butterfly-m-gold-medal-winner
| countryfilter | Yes | 0.01 |
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