
Resolved Yes on 25 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 85.5% on 14 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 73 daily closes on record from 14 Nov 2024 to 25 Jan 2025, the highest close was 99.8% on 25 Jan 2025 and the lowest 85.5% on 14 Nov 2024. $131.06K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 6, 7:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 14 Nov 2024 – 25 Jan 2025, chart shows 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2024 | 85.5% |
| 25 Jan 2025 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | No | 11.95K |
| PolyDump | No | 446.09 |
| St-Qc | No | 402 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kristi Noem is confirmed as Secretary of Homeland Security by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Noem’s nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-trump-picks-will-be-confirmed
| No |
| 250 |
| gateot | No | 204 |
| Dmitry68 | No | 132.23 |
| toup1234 | Yes | 23.72 |
| Anthonyt | No | 21.74 |
| tember | Yes | 10.75 |
| lihua95 | Yes | 5.38 |
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