Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 4500 (LOW) in Q1 2026?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 31, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$7.8K

Resolved

Settled

Mar 31, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 31 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.3%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 28 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 59 daily closes on record from 28 Jan 2026 to 31 Mar 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 2 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 26 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 6.5% on 18 Feb 2026. $7.83K traded over the market's life.

11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 2:57 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 59 points, 28 Jan 2026 – 31 Mar 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
28 Jan 2026	47.5%
31 Mar 2026	2.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
cassino	Yes	480
tailhunter	Yes	147.98
Amber Ledger 322C	Yes	38.83

10 of 11 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for the first quarter of 2026, any 1-minute candle for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.