Analytics
Resolved No on 7 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 87.7%. Yes opened at 36% on 24 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 59 daily closes on record from 24 Feb 2026 to 7 May 2026 (14 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 2 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 2.5% on 2 May 2026. $3.75K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 8, 6:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 59 points, 24 Feb 2026 – 7 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2026 | 36.0% |
| 7 May 2026 | 12.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.27K |
| itsjustcheddar | Yes | 511 |
| Trusting-Brass | Yes | 280 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the player who records the most red cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition. For the purpose of this market, both direct red cards, or red cards that result from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match will be considered in the final count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-champions-league-most-red-cards
| Yes |
| 109 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 100 |
| pd.unique | Yes | 30 |
| Silver Voyager F81B | Yes | 20 |
| Gloomy-Instinct | Yes | 11.27 |
| Golden Horizon 54D0 | Yes | 6.7 |
| wwder | Yes | 5 |
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