Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 74% on 24 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 24 Nov 2025 to 24 Dec 2025, the highest close was 99.9% on 24 Dec 2025 and the lowest 44.5% on 2 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 90.5% on 16 Dec 2025. $8.8K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 25, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 24 Nov 2025 – 24 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Nov 2025 | 74.0% |
| 24 Dec 2025 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 450 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 421 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 270 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 224.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kodiak (https://x.com/kodiakfi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Kodiak, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-kodiak-launch-a-token-by
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 147 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 120 |
| 9735 | No | 100 |
| trumpwithme | Yes | 21 |
| Deafening-Possible | No | 20 |
| Liamyxy | No | 20 |
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