Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Oct 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 6 Oct 2023. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 6 Oct 2023 to 19 Oct 2023, the highest close was 83% on 16 Oct 2023 and the lowest 2.5% on 17 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 81 points down, to 2.5% on 17 Oct 2023. $601.93 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 2:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 6 Oct 2023 – 19 Oct 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2023 | 50.0% |
| 19 Oct 2023 | 20.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hhhhhh-432 | Yes | 20 |
| mckinsey_betzz | Yes | 9.23 |
| vliet005 | Yes | 5.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/poland-election
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