What is the “Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 50.3¢ and No at 49.6¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 50.3% for Yes and 49.6% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the number of Bitcoin Knots nodes exceeds the number of Bitcoin Core nodes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is https://coin.dance/nodes/all, specifically the “Bitcoin Nodes” chart. Resolution will be based on the node counts displayed when hovering over each date for Bitcoin Core Nodes and Bitcoin Knots Nodes. A data point for a given day will be considered finalized once data for the following day is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable within…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($587.87) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($5.85) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 12 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 98.6% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 3, 3:24 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-knots-flip-bitcoin-core-by-december-31) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027? Polymarket Odds

Market referencewill-knots-flip-bitcoin-core-before-2027Updated 2m ago

cryptoActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTCnetwork-statsbitcoin

Yes

50.4%

49.6%

Buy Yes 50.35¢Buy No 49.65¢

24h Volume

$588

Liquidity

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes price

50.35¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

50.3%

49.6%

24h volume

$587.87

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 50.35¢

Open in terminal$587.87 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

just now

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

98.7%

Observed

2m ago

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

50.3%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

99%

Yes / No shares

73.41 / 74.19

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Oct 3, 3:26 PM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Oct 3, 3:26 PM UTC	50.3%	50.3%
Oct 3, 12:00 AM UTC	50.3%	50.3%
Oct 2, 12:00 AM UTC	50.3%	50.3%

Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___?

December 31Will knots flip bitcoin core by December 31?closed

Topic room

Every related market on one live board

Bitcoin Price oddsHow high, and how low, do traders expect Bitcoin to go?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 50.3¢ and No at 49.6¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 50.3% for Yes and 49.6% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the number of Bitcoin Knots nodes exceeds the number of Bitcoin Core nodes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is https://coin.dance/nodes/all, specifically the “Bitcoin Nodes” chart. Resolution will be based on the node counts displayed when hovering over each date for Bitcoin Core Nodes and Bitcoin Knots Nodes. A data point for a given day will be considered finalized once data for the following day is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable within…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($587.87) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($5.85) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Bucket

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Oct 3, 3:26 PM UTC

50.3%

Oct 3, 12:00 AM UTC

50.3%

Oct 2, 12:00 AM UTC

50.3%