Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 54%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 20 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 46% on 22 Mar 2026 and the low 33% on 21 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 46% on 22 Mar 2026.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 23, 6:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 20 Mar 2026 – 22 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 30%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2026 | 42.5% |
| 22 Mar 2026 | 46.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 39.99 |
| jjzzh | Yes | 10 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 First Stand Tournament MVP (Most Valuable Player award), currently scheduled for March 16th–March 22nd, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or an MVP has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple players are declared MVP (e.g., due to ties or special circumstances), this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed in-game name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games. However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/First_Stand_Tournament/2026) may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/first-stand-2026-mvp
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