Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 41%. Yes opened at 37% on 27 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 27 Jul 2024 to 4 Aug 2024, the highest close was 59% on 4 Aug 2024 and the lowest 37% on 27 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 59% on 4 Aug 2024. $93.87K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 5, 10:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 27 Jul 2024 – 4 Aug 2024, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2024 | 37.0% |
| 4 Aug 2024 | 59.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.36K |
| RiverKnollTradingco | Yes | 6.45K |
| JCpalm | Yes | 262.98 |
| nobudge | Yes | 94.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
100m (M)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/100m-m-gold-medal-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Omniscient | Yes | 20 |
| GaryYan | Yes | 16.98 |
| SkaPunkSpy | Yes | 11.9 |
| Pose1don | Yes | 4.76 |
| GHHO | Yes | 0.05 |
| Cultivated-Embossing | Yes | 0.02 |
