Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 2 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2025 to 9 Oct 2025, the highest close was 48.5% on 2 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 9 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 1.1% on 3 Oct 2025. $16.88K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 3:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 2 Oct 2025 – 9 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2025 | 48.5% |
| 9 Oct 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.54K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 1.57K |
| untaken | Yes | 543 |
| paspor | Yes | 540.37 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 49. If Survivor season 49 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 49 has otherwise not concluded by February 28, 2026 ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 49.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/survivor-49-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| shine | Yes | 461.77 |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 318.53 |
| tindache | Yes | 176.25 |
| itsjustcheddar | Yes | 80 |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 74.27 |
| Lunar Tide 00C3 | Yes | 74.17 |
