Analytics
Resolved No on 22 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 6 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 110 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 22 May 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 21.5% on 6 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 2.9% on 7 Jan 2026. $10.7K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 22, 2:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 110 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 22 May 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 21.5% |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.82K |
| Kind-Petal | Yes | 971.43 |
| Marcus177 | Yes | 821.06 |
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-manchester-united-manager
| Yes |
| 699 |
| tepetzis | Yes | 215.02 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 194.43 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| Sunekaer | Yes | 142.85 |
| 2009matizcre | Yes | 131 |
| fang1957 | Yes | 80 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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