Analytics
Resolved Yes on 19 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 77.5%. Yes opened at 69.5% on 17 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 85% on 18 Mar 2026 and the low 69.5% on 17 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 85% on 18 Mar 2026.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 20, 9:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 17 Mar 2026 – 19 Mar 2026, chart shows 65%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | 69.5% |
| 19 Mar 2026 | 77.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MartySupreme123 | No | 999.99 |
| chickendimmer | No | 859.02 |
| dizzydes | No | 217.39 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 200 |
| Stromebreakr | No | 100 |
| Flustered-Mortal | No | 68.67 |
| latentedge | No | 33.33 |
| daroghi | No | 30 |
| PX5300 | No | 29.91 |
| Greedy-Butterfly | No | 20.26 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if an official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Ali Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Khamenei's official X profiles: https://x.com/khamenei_ir, https://x.com/KhameneiBangla, https://x.com/az_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_fa, https://x.com/ar_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_Heb. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-khamenei-tweet-on
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