Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Dec 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 54.5%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 2 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 2 Dec 2023 to 6 Dec 2023, the highest close was 54.5% on 6 Dec 2023 and the lowest 43.5% on 2 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 54% on 5 Dec 2023. $4.39K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 3:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 2 Dec 2023 – 6 Dec 2023, chart shows 40%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2023 | 43.5% |
| 6 Dec 2023 | 54.5% |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin McCarthy announces his resignation from his position as a member of the US House of Representatives by 11:59 PM ET, December 31, 2023. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, a resignation is defined as Kevin McCarthy formally announcing his intention to step down, or his resignation being reported by a reputable source, such as a government website or major news outlet. Note that if he announces he will resign from the House by the resolution date it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when or if the resignation actually occurs.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-kevin-mccarthy-resign-from-the-house-in-2023
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