Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Oct 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 17%. Yes opened at 89.5% on 14 Sep 2023. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 14 Sep 2023 to 3 Oct 2023, the highest close was 95.5% on 15 Sep 2023 and the lowest 53% on 1 Oct 2023. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 88.5% on 2 Oct 2023. $32.67K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 4, 8:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 14 Sep 2023 – 3 Oct 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Sep 2023 | 89.5% |
| 3 Oct 2023 | 83.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jeromeeee | Yes | 4.53K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-kevin-mccarthy-remain-speaker-through
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