Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 50%. Yes opened at 71% on 16 Dec 2022. Before it settled, across the 101 daily closes on record from 16 Dec 2022 to 17 May 2023 (52 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 91% on 7 Jan 2023 and the lowest 35% on 5 Jan 2023. Its largest one-day move was 42 points up, to 91% on 7 Jan 2023. $85.14K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 10, 1:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 101 points, 16 Dec 2022 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2022 | 71.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Neon Pulse 31F5 | No | 797.34K |
| Firm-Wraparound | No | 19.2K |
| Bright-Comparison | No | 58.9 |
This is a market group on who will be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th United States Congress. The midterm US elections scheduled for November 8, 2022, are expected to be contentious, with a strong possibility of the Republicans taking the House and Senate. If the Republicans take the US House of Representatives, the present Speaker of the House, Democrat Nancy Pelosi, may be replaced by the Republican who wins a roll call election held by House members. The 2022 midterm federal election is scheduled for November 8, 2022. The 118th Congress is scheduled to be sworn in on January 3, 2023.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-elected-speaker-of-the-house-for-the-118th-congress
| No |
| 35 |
| 21kjsij2kl23 | No | 26.82 |
| Jade Atlas 64FA | No | 1.09 |
| Cosmic Beacon 58A9 | No | 0.15 |
| Kickstand8 | No | 0.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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