Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 5% on 3 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 81 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2024 to 21 Feb 2025, the highest close was 9.5% on 5 Dec 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5 points up, to 9.5% on 5 Dec 2024. $21.85K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 21, 7:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 81 points, 3 Dec 2024 – 21 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2024 | 5.0% |
| 21 Feb 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.29K |
| uzzlqtPjUV | Yes | 336 |
| ytKmdMlOAI | Yes | 274.77 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump appoints Ken Paxton as Director of the FBI by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A candidate will be considered to have been appointed if they are confirmed to the position through a senate vote, appointed through a recess appointment, or are otherwise officially made the Director of the FBI. This market will resolve based on the first Trump candidate who is appointed to this position - if another candidate is appointed to this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Government.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-director-oft-the-fbi
| Yes |
| 207 |
| BATxYcvaSz | Yes | 187 |
| PPOaEuNTdW | Yes | 137.04 |
| Solar Scout 626F | Yes | 23 |
| ajVkiKYLcR | Yes | 0.01 |
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