Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 7.4%. Yes opened at 66.5% on 19 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 19 Dec 2025 to 7 Jan 2026, the highest close was 95.6% on 24 Dec 2025 and the lowest 66.5% on 19 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 80.5% on 20 Dec 2025. $11.19K traded over the market's life.
67 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 9, 12:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 19 Dec 2025 – 7 Jan 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2025 | 66.5% |
| 7 Jan 2026 | 92.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| alilili1 | Yes | 1K |
| MyLige | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 386 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
| Yes |
| 250 |
| alivip | Yes | 200 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 178 |
| Negative-Journalism | No | 162.31 |
| Lunar Vector C096 | Yes | 136.49 |
| platini | Yes | 52.08 |
| Rlso | Yes | 45.75 |
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-keir-starmer-say-at-the-next-prime-ministers-questions-event-711
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