
Resolved Yes on 22 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 26%. Yes opened at 34% on 14 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2026 to 22 Jan 2026, the highest close was 48.5% on 17 Jan 2026 and the lowest 26% on 22 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 48.5% on 17 Jan 2026. $4.21K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 24, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 14 Jan 2026 – 22 Jan 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | 34.0% |
| 22 Jan 2026 | 26.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| micohen | No | 136.51 |
| Royal Falcon 64E3 | No | 135 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-actress-nominations
| Coral Atlas 74DA | No | 65 |
| t189 | No | 50 |
| tiancs | No | 50 |
| biasedboat | No | 47 |
| Zijp | No | 32.74 |
| paas2 | No | 30 |
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