Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 49% on 6 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 6 Nov 2025 to 18 Nov 2025, the highest close was 49% on 6 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 9% on 7 Nov 2025. $12.6K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 19, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 18 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 49.0% |
| 18 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.86K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.08K |
| doublemags | Yes | 783.8 |
| Grayfox1 | Yes | 716.68 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on November 16, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2025 Chilean Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the Chilean Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Electoral Service (https://www.servel.cl/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/chile-presidential-election-margin-of-victory-first-round
| tailevent | Yes | 480 |
| HugeSilver | Yes | 475.29 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 263 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 232.48 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 162 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 148 |
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