Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 55.5%. Yes opened at 61.5% on 27 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 27 Jul 2024 to 9 Aug 2024, the highest close was 61.5% on 27 Jul 2024 and the lowest 37% on 28 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 37% on 28 Jul 2024. $54.83K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 10, 10:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 27 Jul 2024 – 9 Aug 2024, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2024 | 61.5% |
| 9 Aug 2024 | 44.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.32K |
| fkk77 | Yes | 100 |
| fghsfzdf | Yes | 91.49 |
| germany224 | Yes | 62.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the winner of the men's 400m hurdles event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/400m-hurdles-m-gold-medal-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Raftough | Yes | 1.39 |
| WorldFest | Yes | 0.02 |
